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Innumeracy in the Wild

Misunderstanding and Misusing Numbers

By (author) Ellen Peters
Format: Hardback
Publisher: Oxford University Press Inc, New York, United States
Published: 21st Jul 2020
Dimensions: w 156mm h 234mm d 19mm
Weight: 621g
ISBN-10: 0190861096
ISBN-13: 9780190861094
Barcode No: 9780190861094
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Synopsis
Our grasp of numbers and uncertainty is one of humankind's most distinctive and important traits. It is pivotal to our exceptional ability to control the world around us as we make short-term choices and forecast far into the future. But very smart people can struggle with numbers in ways that pose negative consequences for their decision making. Numeric ability equips individuals with vital tools that allow them to take charge of various aspects of their life. The more numerate enjoy superior health, wealth, and employment outcomes, while the innumerate remain more vulnerable. This book presents the logic, rules, and habits that highly numerate people use in decision making. Innumeracy in the Wild also introduces two additional ways of knowing numbers that complement and compensate for lower numeric ability and explores how numeric abilities develop and where mistakes are made. It offers a state-of-the-art review of the now sizeable body of psychological and applied findings that demonstrate the critical importance of numeracy in our world. With more than two decades of experience in the decision sciences, Ellen Peters demonstrates how intervention can foster adult numeric capacity, propel people to use numeric facts in decision making, and empower those with lower numeracy to reason better.

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Peters presents a fascinating interdisciplinary examination of how well people understand and use numbers. Although intended mostly for other researchers, there is tremendous value for those who just want to understand their own numeracy and its sometimes surprising consequences, as well as improve upon it in order to make better decisions. * Richard Petty, Professor of Psychology, The Ohio State University * Ellen Peters' Innumeracy in the Wild is a compelling exploration of the psychological mechanisms that explain why and how numbers lead to poor decisions by some and sound ones by others. This book is a must read for those across the academy concerned with correcting misinformed beliefs about health, finances, and politics. * Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Elizabeth Ware Packard Professor of Communication, University of Pennsylvania * In Innumeracy in the Wild, Ellen Peters offers a multi-faceted, empirically driven approach to a major societal challenge: ensuring that non-experts receive scientifically sound information in the timely, comprehensible form needed for them to make effective decisions and have voice in domains where they might otherwise be disenfranchised. * Baruch Fischhoff, Howard Heinz University Professor, Carnegie Mellon University * My copy is already full of ticked sentences and crosses in the margin of the numerous references that I still want to check. So this book is highly recommended. Anyone who thinks they are bad with numbers will learn a lot from them. And who thinks he is good with numbers, especially. * Translated from Skepsis *